Kairat 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -24%
1.74/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.53
+19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
20.08.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
23.04.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-2 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
15.09.2022 Kairat Kairat 1-2 HT 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
07.08.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-3 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
09.07.2022 Kairat Kairat 2-0 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat edged past Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kairat and 1.17 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Kairat 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kairat 49%, draw 22%, Ordabasy Shymkent 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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