Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.0pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.35/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/2.16
+64% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kairat
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.08.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
23.04.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-2 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
15.09.2022 Kairat Kairat 1-2 HT 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
07.08.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-3 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
09.07.2022 Kairat Kairat 2-0 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
26.04.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 HT 1-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat edged past Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ordabasy Shymkent at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.50 for Kairat.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kairat?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 50%, draw 26%, Kairat 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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