FC Astana 0-1 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-9.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.81/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
+2% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / -60%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey nicked a narrow win over FC Astana 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Astana at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Yelimay Semey?

FC Astana 0-1 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 55%, draw 20%, Yelimay Semey 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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