31/03/2024
·
12:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Aktobe vs Zhenys Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
68%
23%
Draw
19%
25%
Away Win
13%
46%
Under 2.5
44%
54%
Over 2.5
56%
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
48%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aktobe v Zhenys — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Aktobe
EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zhenys
EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-14% /
-14%
1.94/0.82
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/2.00
-6%
/
+4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-1%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
353 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
241 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.8
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Aktobe vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Aktobe swept aside Zhenys 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Aktobe vs Zhenys?
Aktobe 3-0 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Zhenys?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 52%, draw 23%, Zhenys 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Aktobe)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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KAZP
More Kazakistan - Super League
31 Mar 2024