Viking 3-2 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.63
2-3 Goals
35%
2.14
4-5 Goals
30%
2.5
6+ Goals
13%
5.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.71
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
25%
3.95
X/2
9%
13.7
X/X
10%
7.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
18.75
2/2
9%
8.92
2/X
6%
17.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.75 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
2.12/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.88
+11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
36.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
26.2 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sandefjord
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.59 xG 1.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
290 Passes 337
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-3 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
24.09.2023 Viking Viking 4-3 HT 2-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
13.05.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
07.08.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
19.06.2022 Viking Viking 1-2 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
02.10.2021 Viking Viking 2-1 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
3-2
AWAY Sandefjord
1.53 xG 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
335 Passes 387
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viking vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking squeezed past Sandefjord 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Viking had 49% of the ball to Sandefjord's 51%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.53 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Viking and 1.50 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Viking vs Sandefjord?

Viking 3-2 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Viking 55%, draw 22%, Sandefjord 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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