Sandefjord 0-3 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.41
No
50%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.81
2-3 Goals
40%
2.04
4-5 Goals
23%
2.61
6+ Goals
10%
6.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.81 — our 27% vs market 12.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.78
1/2
6%
22.7
1/X
6%
11.9
X/1
13%
6.61
X/2
14%
5.74
X/X
11%
5.69
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
19%
3.1
2/X
5%
11.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.7pp
50%
BTTS No
33%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.44/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.57
+30% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.6
18.1 Crosses 24.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Viking
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.55 xG 1.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
317 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Viking Viking 4-3 HT 2-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
13.05.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
07.08.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
19.06.2022 Viking Viking 1-2 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
02.10.2021 Viking Viking 2-1 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
19.06.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-0 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
0-3
AWAY Viking
1.55 xG 0.93
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
469 Passes 253
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking cruised past Sandefjord 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Viking made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sandefjord had 62% of the ball to Viking's 38%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.55 to 0.93 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sandefjord.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sandefjord and 1.83 for Viking.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Viking?

Sandefjord 0-3 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 39%, draw 23%, Viking 39%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/23/39)
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