Tromsö 3-2 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.84
2-3 Goals
35%
1.83
4-5 Goals
29%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.6
X/2
11%
7.79
X/X
14%
4.93
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
6%
5.47
2/X
5%
13.2
Value flag · X/1 at 4.6 — our 26% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.51/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.51
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
19.5 Crosses 18.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rosenborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.18 xG 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
448 Passes 366
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 Tromsö Tromsö HAZ
03.09.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 3-1 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.07.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-1 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
28.08.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 4-3 HT 2-3 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
23.07.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
12.09.2021 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-2 HT 2-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
3-2
AWAY Rosenborg
2.07 xG 2.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
448 Passes 423
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö nicked a narrow win over Rosenborg 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Tromsö had 51% of the ball to Rosenborg's 49%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.07 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tromsö and 2.50 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Rosenborg?

Tromsö 3-2 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 51%, draw 27%, Rosenborg 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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