Kristiansund BK 2-2 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.4
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
53%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.33 — our 26% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
10.15
1/2
8%
20.45
1/X
3%
17.4
X/1
7%
14.3
X/2
19%
3.82
X/X EV+ ✓
20%
7.04
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.7
2/X
6%
17.0
Value flag · X/X at 7.04 — our 20% vs market 10.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
15%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
19%
+9.9pp
53%
Away Win
66%
-12.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 70%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.31/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.96
+49% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 473 · 86%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.5
19.1 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristiansund BK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Brann
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.63 xG 1.84
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
240 Passes 295
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2021 Brann Brann 3-1 HT 1-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
05.07.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 3-2 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR
27.09.2020 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-1 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR
25.07.2020 Brann Brann 1-1 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
15.09.2019 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
10.04.2019 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristiansund BK
2-2
AWAY Brann
2.56 xG 1.18
24% Ball Possession 76%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 14
119 Passes 577
61% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 47
13 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kristiansund BK vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund BK and Brann shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brann at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kristiansund BK had 24% of the ball to Brann's 76%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.56 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kristiansund BK and 1.50 for Brann.

What was the final score of Kristiansund BK vs Brann?

Kristiansund BK 2-2 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund BK vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund BK 18%, draw 29%, Brann 53%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brann) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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