HamKam 1-0 Bodo/Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 20 May 2024

HamKam
1-0 HT 1-0
Bodo/Glimt
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

HamKam vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
55%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.53
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.45
1/X
5%
15.9
X/1
7%
10.1
X/2
17%
3.96
X/X
10%
6.23
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.02
2/X
7%
15.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.45 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-2.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HamKam v Bodo/Glimt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 62%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.25/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.16
-54% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.1
23.1 Crosses 18.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

HamKam vs Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Bodo/Glimt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.05 xG 2.33
27% Ball Possession 73%
11 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
145 Passes 586
65% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 50
18 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.09.2023 HamKam HamKam 4-4 HT 2-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
13.07.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOK
11.06.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
20.08.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-2 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
16.07.2022 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
28.09.2008 HamKam HamKam 2-2 HT 1-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Bodo/Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam squeezed past Bodo/Glimt 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bodo/Glimt at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HamKam and 2.50 for Bodo/Glimt.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Bodo/Glimt?

HamKam 1-0 Bodo/Glimt in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Bodo/Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split HamKam 23%, draw 22%, Bodo/Glimt 55%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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