Stromsgodset 2-0 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 20 May 2024

Stromsgodset
2-0 HT 1-0
Haugesund
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Stromsgodset vs Haugesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 30% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.54
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
21%
4.52
X/2
10%
7.91
X/X
12%
5.06
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
14%
5.57
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.9pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stromsgodset v Haugesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.62/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.33
-3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
24.8 Crosses 17.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Stromsgodset vs Haugesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Haugesund
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 Passes 287
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
04.06.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 0-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
29.10.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 1-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
18.04.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 0-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
05.12.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
28.07.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 2-1 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR

Stromsgodset 2-0 Haugesund — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
2-0
AWAY Haugesund
1.48 xG 1.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
451 Passes 404
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
37 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset saw off Haugesund 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stromsgodset as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 53% of the ball to Haugesund's 47%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.48 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haugesund led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.17 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?

Stromsgodset 2-0 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 45%, draw 25%, Haugesund 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stromsgodset), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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