Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-1 Hutnik Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.05
2-3 Goals
40%
2.08
4-5 Goals
25%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
5.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +26%
2.15/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.84
+10% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.03.2022 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 1-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2
11.09.2021 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1 HT 0-1 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1-1
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
14 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Hutnik Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Hutnik Krakow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 56% of the ball to Hutnik Krakow's 44%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and 1.00 for Hutnik Krakow.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Hutnik Krakow?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-1 Hutnik Krakow in the Poland - 2nd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Hutnik Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 58%, draw 23%, Hutnik Krakow 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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