Swit Skolwin 4-4 Zaglebie Lubin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swit Skolwin EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 25%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
2.27/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.89
+32% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swit Skolwin
4-4
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Swit Skolwin vs Zaglebie Lubin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swit Skolwin and Zaglebie Lubin II couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 2-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Swit Skolwin at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Swit Skolwin had 51% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin II's 49%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Swit Skolwin vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Swit Skolwin 4-4 Zaglebie Lubin II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swit Skolwin vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swit Skolwin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Swit Skolwin 46%, draw 24%, Zaglebie Lubin II 30%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Swit Skolwin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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