FK Ufa 2-1 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Nov 2024

FK Ufa
2-1 HT 1-0
KAMAZ
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.16
No
66%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.8pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.2pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.9pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.60/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.06
+25% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY KAMAZ
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.05.2023 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-0 HT 1-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
29.10.2022 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-2 HT 2-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Ufa
2-1
AWAY KAMAZ
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Ufa squeezed past KAMAZ 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; FK Ufa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Ufa had 53% of the ball to KAMAZ's 47%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Ufa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Ufa and 1.00 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs KAMAZ?

FK Ufa 2-1 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Ufa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 36%, draw 34%, KAMAZ 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Ufa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Ufa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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