Sokol Saratov 1-0 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.1pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.8pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.0pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.6pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.52/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.60
-46% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.11.2023 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-3 HT 0-2 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
08.10.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 3-0 HT 3-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
28.09.2015 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
1-0
AWAY Arsenal Tula
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov nicked a narrow win over Arsenal Tula 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal Tula at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 35% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 65%, shots finished 4-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sokol Saratov and 2.33 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs Arsenal Tula?

Sokol Saratov 1-0 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 24%, draw 35%, Arsenal Tula 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arsenal Tula) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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