Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zenit St. Petersburg v Makhachkala — Team-Based Signals
Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Makhachkala — Actual Match Statistics
Zenit St. Petersburg nicked a narrow win over Makhachkala 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 72% of the ball to Makhachkala's 28%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 3.50 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zenit St. Petersburg's control.
What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala?
Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Makhachkala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 56%, draw 24%, Makhachkala 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.