Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 32% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.24
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
21%
4.04
X/2
13%
9.13
X/X
10%
5.17
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
7%
6.94
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.7pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.52/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.30
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.8 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.16 xG 1.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 Passes 192
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
40 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
01.11.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-0 HT 3-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
08.08.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
22.07.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
08.05.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
16.10.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-2 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.99 xG 0.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
412 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow squeezed past Rubin Kazan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 60% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 40%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.99 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 0.83 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rubin Kazan?

Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 46%, draw 26%, Rubin Kazan 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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