Rubin Kazan 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

Rubin Kazan
1-1 HT 1-1
Lokomotiv Moscow
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Rubin Kazan vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.95
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
10%
6.53
X/2
21%
4.61
X/X
8%
4.31
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.04
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rubin Kazan v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
0.92/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.11
-23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
13.2 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Rubin Kazan vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.42 xG 1.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
200 Passes 373
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-0 HT 3-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
08.08.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
22.07.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
08.05.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
16.10.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-2 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
05.12.2020 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-1 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS

Rubin Kazan 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
1.61 xG 1.16
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
229 Passes 387
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 46
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Lokomotiv Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan and Lokomotiv Moscow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Moscow at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 40% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 60%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.61 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rubin Kazan and 2.00 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Rubin Kazan 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 29%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Moscow 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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