CSKA Moskova 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 26% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.9
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
19%
3.7
X/2
10%
11.6
X/X
13%
5.85
2/1
11%
22.3
2/2
11%
9.09
2/X
5%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.77/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.48
+25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.2 Crosses 13.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.01
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-3 HT 2-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
29.04.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-3 HT 0-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
21.08.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-2 HT 3-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
01.05.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
21.08.2021 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
06.03.2021 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
1-2
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.07 xG 0.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
326 Passes 303
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny edged past CSKA Moskova 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Moskova at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 53% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 47%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.07 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.17 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

CSKA Moskova 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 50%, draw 24%, FC Akhmat Grozny 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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