Baltika Kaliningrad vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baltika Kaliningrad v Krylya Sovetov — Team-Based Signals
Baltika Kaliningrad vs Krylya Sovetov Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Krylya Sovetov
RUK
2-1
HT 0-0
Baltika Kaliningrad
RUS
2-3
HT 1-0
Baltika Kaliningrad
RUK
0-1
HT 0-1
Krylya Sovetov
RUS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Baltika Kaliningrad
RUS1
Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Krylya Sovetov — Actual Match Statistics
Baltika Kaliningrad edged past Krylya Sovetov 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Baltika Kaliningrad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 49% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 51%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.76 to 1.54.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.40 for Krylya Sovetov.
What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Krylya Sovetov?
Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Krylya Sovetov?
Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 44%, draw 29%, Krylya Sovetov 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.