Bistrica 4-2 Tolmin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tolmin EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.68/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.59
+7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tolmin
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 0-1 HT 0-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
4-2
AWAY Tolmin
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica saw off Tolmin 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bistrica as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bistrica had 47% of the ball to Tolmin's 53%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Tolmin?

Bistrica 4-2 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Tolmin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 42%, draw 27%, Tolmin 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bistrica), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bistrica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
2 Nov 2024
19:00 Gorica vs ND Slovan Ljubljana Analysis →