Gorica 2-5 ND Slovan Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.3
Draw
27%
4.95
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
72%
-20.8pp
27%
Draw
17%
+10.3pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Slovan Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.94/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
423 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 6.0
POST-MATCH Gorica vs ND Slovan Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Slovan Ljubljana cruised past Gorica 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gorica at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Gorica vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Gorica 2-5 ND Slovan Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gorica 51%, draw 27%, ND Slovan Ljubljana 21%. The final score 2-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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