Ratchaburi 2-2 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.1pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.33/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.73
-21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -51%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
21.4 Crosses 19.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Sukhothai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
364 Passes 277
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-0 HT 1-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
21.10.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3-1 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
04.03.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 1-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
08.10.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
2-2
AWAY Sukhothai
1.83 xG 0.91
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
462 Passes 319
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi and Sukhothai shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ratchaburi at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 58% of the ball to Sukhothai's 42%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.83 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sukhothai led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.00 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Sukhothai?

Ratchaburi 2-2 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 57%, draw 27%, Sukhothai 16%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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