Sukhothai 1-0 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.6
No
58%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.7pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 45%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.34/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.99
+9% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.1 Crosses 16.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.88 xG 0.77
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
266 Passes 288
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3-1 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
04.03.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 1-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
08.10.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
1-0
AWAY Ratchaburi
0.51 xG 0.77
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
298 Passes 515
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sukhothai nicked a narrow win over Ratchaburi 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sukhothai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sukhothai had 39% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 61%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.51 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sukhothai and 1.33 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi?

Sukhothai 1-0 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sukhothai win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 37%, draw 28%, Ratchaburi 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sukhothai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sukhothai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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