Trat vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Trat v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals
Trat 2-1 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics
Trat squeezed past BG Pathum United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was BG Pathum United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Trat had 27% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 73%, shots finished 16-29, expected goals 1.73 to 1.83.
What was the final score of Trat vs BG Pathum United?
Trat 2-1 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Trat vs BG Pathum United?
Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trat 29%, draw 23%, BG Pathum United 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.