Kalaa Sport 3-2 AS Ariana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.53
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
15%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.2pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-2.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalaa Sport EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.43/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -40%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalaa Sport
3-2
AWAY AS Ariana
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Kalaa Sport vs AS Ariana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalaa Sport nicked a narrow win over AS Ariana 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kalaa Sport as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kalaa Sport had 63% of the ball to AS Ariana's 37%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Kalaa Sport vs AS Ariana?

Kalaa Sport 3-2 AS Ariana in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalaa Sport vs AS Ariana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalaa Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kalaa Sport 49%, draw 32%, AS Ariana 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalaa Sport) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalaa Sport) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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