02/11/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Msaken vs Korba Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
28%
Draw
30%
37%
Away Win
35%
59%
Under 2.5
64%
41%
Over 2.5
36%
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
55%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Msaken v Korba — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Msaken
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Korba
EU Bookmakers 38%
-26% /
-26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+12%
0.35/1.39
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/0.53
-68%
/
-44%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+17%
/
+105%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
304 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
333 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Msaken vs Korba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Korba squeezed past Msaken 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Korba found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Msaken vs Korba?
Msaken 0-1 Korba in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Msaken vs Korba?
Before kick-off our model rated an Korba win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Msaken 35%, draw 28%, Korba 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Korba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Korba)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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TUN2
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2 Nov 2024