02/11/2024
·
04:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-1
Coastal Spirit vs Eastern Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
43%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
48%
Home Win
48%
24%
Draw
23%
28%
Away Win
28%
39%
Under 2.5
34%
61%
Over 2.5
66%
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
49%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coastal Spirit v Eastern — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Coastal Spirit
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Eastern
The Market 32%
+40% /
+40%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
+1%
5.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
+97%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-51%
/
+150%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
305 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
391 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Coastal Spirit vs Eastern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Coastal Spirit edged past Eastern 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coastal Spirit as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Coastal Spirit vs Eastern?
Coastal Spirit 2-1 Eastern in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coastal Spirit vs Eastern?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coastal Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Coastal Spirit 48%, draw 24%, Eastern 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coastal Spirit), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Coastal Spirit)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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YZLBÖL
More New Zealand - Bölgesel
2 Nov 2024