Wellington Olympic 1-2 Birkenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
35%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
3.94
Over Pick
67%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.32
No
41%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
37%
4-5
26%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.0pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.1pp
35%
Away Win
23%
+12.1pp
33%
Under 2.5
22%
+11.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
78%
-11.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.3pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Olympic EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkenhead United EU Bookmakers 26%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+24% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Olympic
1-2
AWAY Birkenhead United
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Wellington Olympic vs Birkenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkenhead United nicked a narrow win over Wellington Olympic 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wellington Olympic at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wellington Olympic had 48% of the ball to Birkenhead United's 52%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Wellington Olympic vs Birkenhead United?

Wellington Olympic 1-2 Birkenhead United in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Olympic vs Birkenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Wellington Olympic 49%, draw 17%, Birkenhead United 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Olympic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wellington Olympic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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