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Sassuolo (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sassuolo (K) v Fiorentina (K) — Team-Based Signals
Sassuolo (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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Sassuolo (K) 0-1 Fiorentina (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina (K) squeezed past Sassuolo (K) 1-0 on the road.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.67, roughly 60%.
Under the surface, Sassuolo (K) had 33% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 67%, shots finished 4-23, expected goals 0.36 to 1.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fiorentina (K)'s control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 2.00 for Fiorentina (K).
Sassuolo (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Result & Final Score
Sassuolo (K) 0-1 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sassuolo (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 35%, draw 22%, Fiorentina (K) 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.