Avai 2-1 Athletic Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 2 Nov 2025

Avai
2-1 HT 1-0
Athletic Club
📅02/11/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Avai vs Athletic Club Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avai v Athletic Club — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.33/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.13
-11% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.1 Crosses 15.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Avai vs Athletic Club Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Athletic Club
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.44 xG 1.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
349 Passes 439
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.07.2025 Athletic Club 4-0 HT 2-0 Avai Avai BR2

Avai 2-1 Athletic Club — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
2-1
AWAY Athletic Club
1.24 xG 2.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
315 Passes 349
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Avai vs Athletic Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai nicked a narrow win over Athletic Club 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avai as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avai had 48% of the ball to Athletic Club's 52%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.24 to 2.07 — on chances, Athletic Club could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Avai vs Athletic Club?

Avai 2-1 Athletic Club in the Brazil - Serie B on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs Athletic Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Avai 47%, draw 26%, Athletic Club 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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2 Nov 2025
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