Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-4 Utrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
11%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.7pp
61%
Away Win
71%
-10.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.8pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.06/3.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.47
+45% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +71%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.5 Crosses 21.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Utrecht (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.93 xG 3.01
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
177 Passes 490
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1
28.09.2024 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
24.03.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-4 HT 1-2 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
2-4
AWAY Utrecht (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 1
303 Passes 336
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Utrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht (K) got the better of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Utrecht (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 49% of the ball to Utrecht (K)'s 51%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Utrecht (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) and 2.00 for Utrecht (K).

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Utrecht (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-4 Utrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Utrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 16%, draw 23%, Utrecht (K) 61%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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