Kagoshima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kagoshima United v Matsumoto Yamaga — Team-Based Signals
Kagoshima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
2-4
HT 2-1
Kagoshima United
JAP3
4-2
HT 2-1
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
Kagoshima United 3-2 Matsumoto Yamaga — Actual Match Statistics
Kagoshima United squeezed past Matsumoto Yamaga 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Kagoshima United had 60% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 40%, shots finished 15-9.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kagoshima United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Kagoshima United and 1.75 for Matsumoto Yamaga.
What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Kagoshima United 3-2 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 55%, draw 24%, Matsumoto Yamaga 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.