02/11/2025
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
US Ksour Sef vs AS Ariana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
26%
Draw
25%
18%
Away Win
16%
51%
Under 2.5
60%
49%
Over 2.5
40%
54%
BTTS Yes
38%
46%
BTTS No
62%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
US Ksour Sef v AS Ariana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
US Ksour Sef
EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
AS Ariana
EU Bookmakers 19%
+31% /
+31%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
+1%
5.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.43/1.54
+150%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+135%
/
-10%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
308 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
291 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
4.6
POST-MATCH
US Ksour Sef vs AS Ariana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
US Ksour Sef got the better of AS Ariana 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had US Ksour Sef as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of US Ksour Sef vs AS Ariana?
US Ksour Sef 2-0 AS Ariana in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for US Ksour Sef vs AS Ariana?
Before kick-off our model rated a US Ksour Sef win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split US Ksour Sef 56%, draw 26%, AS Ariana 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Ksour Sef), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (US Ksour Sef)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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TUN2
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