Msaken 1-1 Sporting Ben Arous — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
34%
2.58
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.1pp
34%
Draw
36%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Msaken EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.05/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.71
-12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
260 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Msaken
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
11.02.2024 Sporting Ben Arous Sporting Ben Arous 1-1 HT 0-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2
08.01.2023 Sporting Ben Arous Sporting Ben Arous 2-1 HT 0-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Msaken
1-1
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Msaken vs Sporting Ben Arous
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Msaken and Sporting Ben Arous shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Msaken had 51% of the ball to Sporting Ben Arous's 49%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Ben Arous led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Msaken and 1.50 for Sporting Ben Arous.

What was the final score of Msaken vs Sporting Ben Arous?

Msaken 1-1 Sporting Ben Arous in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Msaken vs Sporting Ben Arous?

Before kick-off our model rated a Msaken win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Msaken 38%, draw 34%, Sporting Ben Arous 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Msaken), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Msaken) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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