Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 Dec 2024

Sevilla
1-1 HT 0-0
Osasuna
📅02/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Sevilla vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 34% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.25
X/1
18%
4.67
X/2
8%
8.49
X/X
15%
4.65
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
14%
6.91
2/X
5%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sevilla v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.45/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.20
-19% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
27.8 Crosses 18.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Sevilla vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Osasuna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.18
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
463 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
23.09.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 0-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
26.02.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 2-3 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
26.01.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İSPK
12.08.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 1-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
05.02.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 0-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1

Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
1-1
AWAY Osasuna
1.34 xG 0.75
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
396 Passes 171
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla and Osasuna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sevilla at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Sevilla had 65% of the ball to Osasuna's 35%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.34 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sevilla and 1.33 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Osasuna?

Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 43%, draw 30%, Osasuna 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sevilla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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