Arezzo 1-1 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.07
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.0pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.35/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.82
+17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
23.09.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-2 HT 0-2 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
1-1
AWAY Virtus Entella
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo and Virtus Entella shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Arezzo had 51% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 49%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arezzo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arezzo and 0.50 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Virtus Entella?

Arezzo 1-1 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 36%, draw 29%, Virtus Entella 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arezzo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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