Pontedera 5-1 SPAL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.16
6+ Goals
11%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.05/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.26
-4% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
3W-0D-0L
AWAY SPAL
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 1-1 SPAL SPAL İTC
12.11.2023 SPAL SPAL 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
10.01.2015 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 1-0 SPAL SPAL İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
5-1
AWAY SPAL
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera cruised past SPAL 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Pontedera made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pontedera had 44% of the ball to SPAL's 56%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pontedera had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pontedera and 0.67 for SPAL.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs SPAL?

Pontedera 5-1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs SPAL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 37%, draw 27%, SPAL 36%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontedera) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontedera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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