San Martin Tucuman 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒01:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
40%
2.77
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-6.2pp
40%
Draw
33%
+7.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.3pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.14/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.83
+0% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2024 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
10.09.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 4-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
30.04.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
14.08.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
04.10.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 3-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
10.06.2021 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza squeezed past San Martin Tucuman 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 40% / 26% — and on the day Gimnasia Mendoza made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.33 for Gimnasia Mendoza.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

San Martin Tucuman 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 35%, draw 40%, Gimnasia Mendoza 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
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