San Martin San Juan 1-0 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.38
Over 2.5
43%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.1pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
69%
-11.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
31%
+11.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.3pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.57/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.97
+23% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
192 Passes 200
59% Pass Accuracy 61%
24.11.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-1 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
16.08.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
06.04.2023 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
21.05.2022 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 3-1 HT 1-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
16.11.2019 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
27.07.2015 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan squeezed past Nueva Chicago 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Martin San Juan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Martin San Juan and 0.50 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Nueva Chicago?

San Martin San Juan 1-0 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 44%, draw 26%, Nueva Chicago 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin San Juan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
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