PSBS Biak Numfor 1-3 Malut United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 2 Dec 2024

PSBS Biak Numfor
1-3 HT 1-2
Malut United
📅02/12/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSBS Biak Numfor v Malut United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Malut United EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malut United saw off PSBS Biak Numfor 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was PSBS Biak Numfor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United?

PSBS Biak Numfor 1-3 Malut United in the Indonesia League 1 on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSBS Biak Numfor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split PSBS Biak Numfor 45%, draw 23%, Malut United 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSBS Biak Numfor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
2 Dec 2024
11:30 PSM Makassar vs Borneo FC Analysis →
15:00 Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya Analysis →