Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madura United v Persebaya Surabaya — Team-Based Signals
Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Persebaya Surabaya
ENDL1
2-2
HT 1-1
Madura United
ENDL1
1-2
HT 1-1
Persebaya Surabaya
ENDL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Madura United
ENDL1
2-3
HT 0-1
Persebaya Surabaya
ENDL1
Persebaya Surabaya squeezed past Madura United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Madura United and 1.67 for Persebaya Surabaya.
What was the final score of Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Madura United 1-2 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Madura United 23%, draw 24%, Persebaya Surabaya 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.