Persebaya Surabaya 0-0 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +27%
1.58/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.11
+8% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Madura United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
377 Passes 334
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
29.01.2023 Madura United Madura United 0-2 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
14.08.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-2 HT 1-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
28.02.2022 Madura United Madura United 1-2 HT 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
20.11.2021 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
02.12.2019 Madura United Madura United 2-3 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
0-0
AWAY Madura United
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 2
10 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya and Madura United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Persebaya Surabaya at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Persebaya Surabaya had 46% of the ball to Madura United's 54%, shots finished 3-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 1.00 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United?

Persebaya Surabaya 0-0 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 43%, draw 27%, Madura United 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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