Persita Tangerang 4-3 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
37%
3.54
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.21
Over 2.5
42%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.2pp
37%
Draw
25%
+12.0pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
41%
+16.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
59%
-16.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.6pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persita Tangerang EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
0.91/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.78
-37% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +69%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persita Tangerang
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Arema Malang
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
407 Passes 292
16.09.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-0 HT 0-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
17.12.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-0 HT 1-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
15.02.2022 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-2 HT 0-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
27.10.2021 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-2 HT 2-1 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persita Tangerang
4-3
AWAY Arema Malang
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 6
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Persita Tangerang vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persita Tangerang squeezed past Arema Malang 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 37% / 30%) promised a tight game; Persita Tangerang found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Persita Tangerang had 49% of the ball to Arema Malang's 51%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arema Malang led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Persita Tangerang and 1.50 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of Persita Tangerang vs Arema Malang?

Persita Tangerang 4-3 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persita Tangerang vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Persita Tangerang 34%, draw 37%, Arema Malang 30%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5
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