Sakaryaspor 2-1 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.7pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 36%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.23/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.37
+16% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.0 Crosses 14.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Boluspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.90 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 Passes 335
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
12.11.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 2-3 HT 0-2 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
24.04.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
26.11.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
28.01.2012 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-7 HT 1-4 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
18.09.2011 Boluspor Boluspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
2-1
AWAY Boluspor
1.76 xG 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
219 Passes 391
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor squeezed past Boluspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Sakaryaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 41% of the ball to Boluspor's 59%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.76 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sakaryaspor and 2.17 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Boluspor?

Sakaryaspor 2-1 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 35%, draw 33%, Boluspor 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sakaryaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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