Sakaryaspor 2-0 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 32% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.47
X/2
11%
7.15
X/X
10%
4.4
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
5.44
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 30%
+25% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.62/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.25
+28% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
16.9 Crosses 15.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Boluspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.90 xG 1.10
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 309
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 2-3 HT 0-2 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
24.04.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
26.11.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
28.01.2012 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-7 HT 1-4 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
18.09.2011 Boluspor Boluspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
28.03.2009 Boluspor Boluspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
2-0
AWAY Boluspor
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
368 Passes 413
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor got the better of Boluspor 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sakaryaspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 48% of the ball to Boluspor's 52%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sakaryaspor and 2.50 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Boluspor?

Sakaryaspor 2-0 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 45%, draw 23%, Boluspor 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sakaryaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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