Ümraniyespor 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 34% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.63
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
11%
5.41
X/2
14%
5.64
X/X
20%
4.51
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
10%
3.85
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.7pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.35/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.96
+11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.1 Crosses 19.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.04 xG 0.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
389 Passes 341
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
22.01.2017 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
21.08.2016 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
0-1
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.58 xG 0.60
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
437 Passes 201
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor squeezed past Ümraniyespor 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Şanlıurfaspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 65% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 35%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.58 to 0.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ümraniyespor.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ümraniyespor and 0.33 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Ümraniyespor 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 37%, draw 33%, Şanlıurfaspor 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ümraniyespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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