02/12/2025
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Şahdağ vs Turan Tovuz Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
26%
X/X
3%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
7%
13%
Draw
15%
67%
Away Win
78%
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
54%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Şahdağ v Turan Tovuz — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Şahdağ
EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY
Turan Tovuz
EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
38%
Ball Possession
62%
7
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
8
237 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
446 · 86%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Şahdağ vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Turan Tovuz edged past Şahdağ 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Şahdağ vs Turan Tovuz?
Şahdağ 1-2 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Şahdağ vs Turan Tovuz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Şahdağ 20%, draw 13%, Turan Tovuz 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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AZERK
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