Zira 1-0 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 2 Dec 2025

📅02/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.34/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-24% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +56%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
03.10.2025 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
13.04.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-4 HT 2-1 Zira Zira AZERS
10.02.2025 Zira Zira 1-2 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
23.11.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-1 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
15.09.2024 Zira Zira 2-0 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
20.04.2024 Zira Zira 3-1 HT 1-1 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira nicked a narrow win over Neftçi PFK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zira and 1.50 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Zira vs Neftçi PFK?

Zira 1-0 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zira 48%, draw 24%, Neftçi PFK 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5
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