Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 2 Dec 2025

📅02/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 28%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
0.50/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.09
-52% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2025 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema 0-0 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
03.11.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis squeezed past Arba Minch Kenema 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kedus Giorgis as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kedus Giorgis had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kedus Giorgis and 0.00 for Arba Minch Kenema.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 42%, draw 31%, Arba Minch Kenema 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kedus Giorgis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
2 Dec 2025
15:00 Mekelakeya vs Dire Dawa Kenema Analysis →
18:00 Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sheger Ketema Analysis →