Polonya (K) 3-0 Letonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Dec 2025

Polonya (K)
3-0 HT 2-0
Letonya (K)
📅02/12/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Polonya (K) vs Letonya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
1.0
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
14.4
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
41%
3.11
4-5 Goals
29%
2.25
6+ Goals
13%
2.41
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.11 — our 41% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-14.3pp
13%
Draw
8%
+4.5pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polonya (K) v Letonya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Letonya (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.45
+59% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +63%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
494 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Polonya (K) 3-0 Letonya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya (K)
3-0
AWAY Letonya (K)
2.34 xG 0.41
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Polonya (K) vs Letonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya (K) ran out comfortable winners over Letonya (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Polonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Polonya (K) had 69% of the ball to Letonya (K)'s 31%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.34 to 0.41.

What was the final score of Polonya (K) vs Letonya (K)?

Polonya (K) 3-0 Letonya (K) in the Friendlies on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya (K) vs Letonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Polonya (K) 71%, draw 13%, Letonya (K) 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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